Quote of the Week
“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price, than a fair company at a wonderful price.” – Warren Buffet
Major indexes closed near fresh all-time highs last week as the U.S. and Iran took a step back avoiding further escalation in geopolitical tensions. Iran retaliated to the recent killing of its general by striking against U.S. military bases in Iraq, but there were no casualties, Mr. Trump then softened his comments. As a result, oil declined 6% on the week, recording its worst weekly performance since July of 2019.
On the economic front, the December jobs report marked a slowdown in job gains. In the chart below, job growth last year slowed from 2018. Wage growth also has started to soften.
The overall economy is also slowing rather rapidly. Projections for fourth quarter GDP are all over the lot. The Atlanta Fed is projecting +2.00 % and Hedgeye is predicting +0.03%. That is quite a spread, so we will have to wait until January 30 for the official report.
We are re-allocating the portfolios this week. Conditions have changed and may probably change even more after the GDP report comes out at the end of January. The biggest change is that we are selling our position in Short-term Government bonds and Tips to extend the duration to longer-term U.S. Treasury bonds. The reason we are extending the duration is to take advantage of declining interest rates which should happen if the GDP report comes in showing little or no growth for the fourth quarter. We are also selling our small positions in Canada and Coco. We are adding Global bonds and Gold Miners and keeping our positions in REITs, Utilities, precious metals, and energy.
Education Tax Credits and Deductions
For parents and students trying to manage college bills and student loan payments, the federal government offers education-related tax benefits. The requirements for each are different, so here’s what you need to know.
American Opportunity credit
The American Opportunity credit (formerly the Hope credit) is a tax credit available for the first four years of a student’s undergraduate education, provided the student is attending school at least half-time in a program leading to a degree or certificate. The credit is worth up to $2,500 in 2020 (it’s calculated as 100% of the first $2,000 of qualified expenses plus 25% of the next $2,000 of expenses). The credit must be taken for the tax year that the expenses are paid, and parents must claim their child as a dependent on their tax return to take the credit.
To be eligible for the credit, your income must fall below certain limits. In 2020, a full credit is available to single filers with a modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) below $80,000 and joint filers with a MAGI below $160,000. A partial credit is available to single filers with a MAGI between $80,000 and $90,000 and joint filers with a MAGI between $160,000 and $180,000.
One benefit of the American Opportunity credit is that it’s calculated per student, not per tax return. So parents with two (or more) qualifying children in a given year can claim a separate credit for each child (assuming income limits are met).
The mechanics of claiming the credit are relatively easy. If you paid tuition and related expenses to an eligible educational institution during the year, the college generally must send you a Form 1098-T by February 1 of the following year. You then file Form 8863 with your federal tax return to claim the credit.
Lifetime Learning credit
The Lifetime Learning credit is another education tax credit, but it has a broader reach than the American Opportunity credit. As the name implies, the Lifetime Learning credit is available for college or graduate courses taken throughout your lifetime (the student can be you, your spouse, or your dependents), even if those courses are taken on a less than half-time basis and don’t lead to a formal degree. However, this credit can’t be taken in the same year as the American Opportunity credit on behalf of the same student.
The Lifetime Learning credit is worth up to $2,000 in 2020 (it’s calculated as 20% of the first $10,000 of qualified expenses). The Lifetime Learning credit must be taken for the same year that expenses are paid, and you must file Form 8863 with your federal tax return to claim the credit. In 2020, a full credit is available to single filers with a MAGI below $59,000 and joint filers with a MAGI below $118,000. A partial credit is available to single filers with a MAGI between $59,000 and $69,000 and joint filers with a MAGI between $118,000 and $138,000.
Unlike the American Opportunity credit, the Lifetime Learning credit is limited to $2,000 per tax return per year, even if more than one person in your household qualifies independently in a given year.
If you have more than one family member attending college or taking courses at the same time, you’ll need to decide which credit to take.
Joe and Ann have a college freshman and sophomore, Mary and Ben, who are attending school full-time. In addition, Joe is enrolled at a local community college taking two graduate courses related to his job. Mary and Ben each qualify for the American Opportunity credit. Plus, Mary, Ben, and Joe each qualify for the Lifetime Learning credit. Because the American Opportunity credit isn’t limited to one per tax return, Joe and Ann should claim this credit for both Mary and Ben, and then claim a Lifetime Learning credit for Joe. Joe and Ann can claim both the American Opportunity credit and the Lifetime Learning credit in the same year because each credit is taken on behalf of a different qualified student.
Student loan interest deduction
The student loan interest deduction allows borrowers to deduct up to $2,500 worth of interest paid on qualified student loans. Generally, federal student loans, private bank loans, college loans, and state loans are eligible. However, the debt must have been incurred while the student was attending school on at least a half-time basis in a program leading to a degree, certificate, or other recognized educational credential. So loans obtained to take courses that do not lead to a degree or other educational credential are not eligible for this deduction.
Your ability to take the student loan interest deduction depends on your income. For 2020, to take the full $2,500 deduction (assuming that much interest is paid during the year) single filers must have a MAGI of $70,000 or less and joint filers $140,000 or less. A partial deduction is available for single filers with a MAGI between $70,000 and $85,000 and joint filers with a MAGI between $140,000 and $170,000.
Also, to be eligible for the deduction, an individual must have the primary obligation to pay the loan and must pay the interest during the tax year. The deduction may not be claimed by someone who can be claimed as a dependent on another taxpayer’s return. Borrowers can take the student loan interest deduction in the same year as the American Opportunity credit or Lifetime Learning credit, provided they qualify for each independently.
Deduction for qualified higher education expenses
The deduction for qualified higher education expenses is not available in 2020 (or 2019). The last year is was available was in tax year 2017. In 2017, it was worth up to $4,000 for out-of-pocket qualified higher education expenses paid during the year; single filers with a modified gross income (MAGI) of $65,000 or less and joint filers with a MAGI of $130,000 or less could take the full $4,000 deduction. A $2,000 deduction was available for single filers with a MAGI between $65,000 and $80,000 and joint filers with a MAGI between $130,000 and $160,000.
Comparison of Credits/Deductions
|MAGI limits for 2020
|Qualified expenses include
|American Opportunity credit$2,500
|Single filer: $80,000 or less for full credit; partial credit if MAGI $80,000 to $90,000Joint filer: $160,000 or less for full credit; partial credit if MAGI $160,000 to $180,000
|Tuition and fees, plus course materials
|Lifetime Learning credit$2,000
|Single filer: $59,000 or less for full credit; partial credit if MAGI $59,000 to $69,000Joint filer: $118,000 or less for full credit; partial credit if MAGI $118,000 to $138,000
|Tuition and fees only
|Student loan interest deduction$2,500
|Single filer: $70,000 or less for full deduction, partial deduction if MAGI $70,000 to $85,000Joint filer: $140,000 or less for full deduction; partial deduction if MAGI $140,000 to $170,000
|Tuition and fees, room and board, books, equipment, and other necessary expenses
|Deduction qualified higher education expenses$4,000 (full); $2,000 (partial)
|Deduction not available in 2020
|Tuition and fees only
For more information, see IRS Publication 970.
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