A Few Indicators That The Economy Is Slowing
We still see a coming recession based on the data.
Short Letter…
QUOTE OF THE WEEK “Don’t judge each day by the harvest you reap but by the seed that you plant.” – Robert Louis Stevenson TECH CORNER This will be a short letter due to the fact I am waiting for three reports coming out this week. I am waiting for the Consumer Price Index report, […]
Has The Recession Started?
I know we have been predicting a recession for what seems like forever.
GDP Was Up (Correction)
QUOTE OF THE WEEK “Feeling gratitude and not expressing it is like wrapping a present and not giving it.” – William Arthur Ward TECH CORNER The big news was that the GDP was up 2.8% for the second quarter. We don’t expect that to last going forward. Remember last quarter’s GDP number is backward looking. […]
Not Much To Report
Not much to report…
The Employment Report Came Out On Friday
Employment report showed a healthy increase…
Unemployment and Credit Spread
Unemployment is rising but the credit spreads are not.
We Have Initiated The Treasury Bond Trade
Economic date is still trending down.
The Consumer Is Tapped
The retail sales figures came in.
Creeping Towards A Recession
Trend in economic activity…
Where Is The Recession?
The direction of the economy is pretty clear.
Headline Inflation Report
Headline inflation came in a bit lower…
Earnings Came In…
The Fed Will Leave Rates Where They Are For Now.
Just A Heads Up…
The stock market “may” have hit the high.
A Reiteration Of 3-25-2024
A reiteration of week 3-25-2024
Is The Recession Coming?
Explaining why the recession has been delayed.
FOMC Statement
Things have changed a lot since the last Fed meeting.
Year Started Off With A Major Miss
Side note, retail sales have declined.
The Financial Health Of The Consumer
Looks like the consumer is running out of money.
The Big Report On Inflation
Higher interest rates are a tax on the economy.
Fed Meeting and Employment Report
Now is not the time to be taking on risk.
Corporate Earning Reports
More to come next week.
Contradicting A Soft Landing
‘The road to success is dotted with many tempting parking spaces.”
The Data Is Getting Worse
“Obstacles are what you see when you take your eyes off your goal”
Still In A Cautionary Mode
We Are Still Waiting For The Recession To Start
Understanding Our Philosophy
“I understand that it is frustrating.”
“Nothing new to report”
Nothing New To Report
“Buy Now, Pay Later”
Buy now, pay later…a worrisome trend with dire consequences.
Americans Are Plagued With Debt
Americans have run out of their extra savings.
The Inverted Yield Curve
An Explanation of The Yield Curve
Happy Thanksgiving!
Wishing you all a very happy Thanksgiving!
Strong Upward Movement in the Stock Markets
This rally is what can be considered a short bear market rally.
Fed Is Not Going To Raise Rates
Fed chairman is reserving the right to raise rates.
The Confirmation Is In
All four major stock market indexes have turned negative.
A Few Indicators Confirming The Declining Economy
Economy is just barely hanging on…
Investing Circumstances Have Changed
Change of an increase in the rate of inflation
Pause in interest rate hikes
QUOTE OF THE WEEK “Charity, good behavior, amiable speech, unselfishness – these by the chief sage have been declared the elements of popularity.” – Burmese Proverb TECH CORNER The Federal Reserve announced a pause in interest rate hikes during the September meeting last Wednesday, therefore, the federal funds rate remains at a 22-year high of […]
Nothing’s Changed
Still expecting a recession
The Big Debate…
Deep recession, soft landing or none at all.
We Are Getting Closer
There are many indicators that point to a recession.